Chances of winning a match

csrack

New Member
I am new here and feel out of my depth. I had statistics many years ago and did well enough to know how much I do not know! That being said I think my question is simple.

I have a pool team that plays once a week. The rankings are handicapped 1-10. The win ratios are obviously calculated on wins to losses. However, that would be a weighted variable based on matches played. So if I put a 2 handicap up against a 3 who each have different point amounts to win and the 2 is 100% for two matches while the 3 is 75% for 8 matches, how do I calculate the odds that my 2 handicap will beat their 3?

If someone could point me in the right direction on what to research or help me with the solution I would be very appreciative.

The three variables involved are: Handicap 1-10, Matches played and matches won.

Edit: There is a fourth variable and that would be defensive shot rating. This is a percentage of defensive shots a player has during matches. This is important because even though two players may have the same handicap one may have a better grasp on strategic play.

Thank you!

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