# Interpreting parameter estimates (ERGM)

#### KristinaMac

##### New Member
Hi anyone could help me with the following?

How do I calculate and interpret departure from non-randomness or likelihood of such configuration occurring using Exponential Random Graph Model with dependence graph construction if I have the following information:

- exponential probability function
- quantitative data on the observed network
- parameter estimates (estimated using Monte Carlo Markov Chain estimation technique)
- standard error

The article basically shows only the parameter estimates table but makes conclusions on the likelihood of those configurations occurring. How do I calculate this probability so that I can follow the argument the article makes?
Thank you

#### chiro

##### New Member
Hey KristinaMac.

Without knowing much about the domain of your problem, can you state the arguments behind the probability (likelihood) function and some context for these arguments?