Recent content by eeisen

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    Real life probability riddle

    Thank you for the reply! The way I was thinking about it was assuming they were testing 100k, with 4% assumed to be positive in the population of those being tested, that means that there will be 96k negative and 4k positive. Assuming 1% false positive, and 20% false negative, that means there...
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    Real life probability riddle

    First time poster. I have something of a probability riddle that I'm not sure how probability experts would think about it. The story is as follows: My spouse and I received a second dose of the pfizer vaccine on Jan 14 and traveled to the USA on Jan 17. Our four children did not receive the...