Here are the basic assumptions based on the CDC's numbers for California:

CA population: 39,510,000

Total current contagious cases: 34,000 (this is based on an average of 2417 new cases/day and a contagion time frame of 14 days. We are also assuming these people are out and about in the population, not staying at home.)

Assuming I have daily contact with 10 random people.

Assuming I have a vaccine efficacy rate of 90%.

What are my daily odds of actually contracting COVID?

I know there are a lot more actual variables, but I didn't want to get bogged down in that. Just wanted a rough idea.

I appreciate any time and input.

Best Regards,

John